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Prediction markets

Prediction Markets in Wisconsin

Status as of October 3, 2026 (re-checked October 14): Kalshi, Polymarket US, ProphetX, OG and Novig available, dispute pending. Wisconsin's lawsuits, the CFTC suit and dated sources.

Quick Verdict: Available, dispute pending

Short answer: Kalshi, Polymarket US, ProphetX, OG and Novig all accept Wisconsin residents, with a dispute pending. Wisconsin sued five companies in April 2026 and the CFTC sued Wisconsin, but no court order blocks the platforms. Status as of October 3, 2026; court dates and open cases re-checked October 14, 2026. (Sports Betting Dime (opens in a new tab); CFTC release 9220-26 (opens in a new tab))

Kalshi, Polymarket US, ProphetX, OG and Novig: Available, dispute pending. Wisconsin sued Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com, Robinhood and Coinbase in Apr 2026 and the CFTC sued Wisconsin; no court order blocks the platforms. (source (opens in a new tab))

Nationally: Federal appeals courts are split on sports event contracts, all at the preliminary-injunction stage: the Third Circuit sided with Kalshi (Apr 6, 2026), the Ninth (Aug 28, 2026) and Sixth (Sep 25, 2026) sided with the states, and three Supreme Court petitions (Nos. 26-299, 26-338, 26-344) are pending; none has been granted.

  • Status (as of October 3, 2026; court dates and open cases re-checked October 14, 2026): Kalshi, Polymarket US, ProphetX, OG and Novig: Available, dispute pending.
  • Why: Wisconsin sued Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com, Robinhood and Coinbase in Apr 2026 and the CFTC sued Wisconsin; no court order blocks the platforms.
  • Welcome offers that apply to Wisconsin residents (partner terms of Oct 1, 2026): Kalshi, Polymarket US, ProphetX, OG, Novig, Rebet.
  • Age: Kalshi, Polymarket US, OG and Rebet set 18 as the minimum (ProphetX: 18 or the local age of majority if higher); Novig sets 21. We recommend 21+.
  • Status describes whether each platform accepts Wisconsin residents, not whether trading is legal. We do not give legal advice.

Best offer right now

Kalshi logo

Kalshi

Score 92/100

Trade $25 and Get $25!

Trade $25 in event contracts and get $25 in credit. Use code RANKPREDICTS at signup.

Code: RANKPREDICTS

Claim $25 credit (opens in a new tab)

21+ ยท Terms apply ยท Partner terms of Oct 1, 2026

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

Full offer details โ†’

Status in Wisconsin as of October 3, 2026

PlatformStatusWhy (source)Welcome offer in Wisconsin
KalshiAvailable, dispute pendingKalshi accepts Wisconsin residents; Wisconsin sued Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com, Robinhood and Coinbase in Apr 2026 and the CFTC sued Wisconsin; no court order blocks the platforms. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Trade $25 and Get $25!
Polymarket USAvailable, dispute pendingPolymarket US accepts Wisconsin residents; Wisconsin sued Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com, Robinhood and Coinbase in Apr 2026 and the CFTC sued Wisconsin; no court order blocks the platforms. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Deposit $10 get a $25 Trading Bonus!
ProphetXAvailable, dispute pendingProphetX accepts Wisconsin residents; Wisconsin sued Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com, Robinhood and Coinbase in Apr 2026 and the CFTC sued Wisconsin; no court order blocks the platforms. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Trade $50, Earn $75!
OG (by Crypto.com)Available, dispute pendingOG accepts Wisconsin residents; Wisconsin sued Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com, Robinhood and Coinbase in Apr 2026 and the CFTC sued Wisconsin; no court order blocks the platforms. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Trade $25 Get $50 in Rewards! (New users only)
NovigAvailable, dispute pendingNovig accepts Wisconsin residents; Wisconsin sued Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com, Robinhood and Coinbase in Apr 2026 and the CFTC sued Wisconsin; no court order blocks the platforms. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Deposit $10 Get $50 in Trade Credits!
RebetAvailable, dispute pendingRebet is a sweepstakes app, not a CFTC-regulated exchange; its sweepstakes rules include Wisconsin. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Get a 100% purchase match up to $100!

What changed (newest first)

Where Wisconsin sits in the national fight

Wisconsin is in the Seventh Circuit, which has not issued an appeals ruling on sports event contracts that we know of. Federal appeals courts elsewhere are split, all at the preliminary-injunction stage: the Third Circuit sided with Kalshi (April 6, 2026), the Ninth (August 28, 2026) and Sixth (September 25, 2026) sided with the states, and three Supreme Court petitions (Nos. 26-299, 26-338, 26-344) are pending; none has been granted. Read how the Supreme Court petitions work.

Best prediction market platforms for Wisconsin residents

Status words below are as of October 3, 2026; court dates and open cases re-checked October 14, 2026. They describe whether a platform accepts Wisconsin residents, not whether trading is legal.

Kalshi โ€” Available, dispute pending. Its welcome offer (Trade $25 and Get $25!, code RANKPREDICTS) is valid in Wisconsin. Open Kalshi (opens in a new tab). KalshiEX LLC has been a CFTC-designated contract market since November 2020 (CFTC release 8302-20 (opens in a new tab)).

Polymarket US โ€” Available, dispute pending. Its welcome offer (Deposit $10 get a $25 Trading Bonus!) is valid here. Open Polymarket US (opens in a new tab). Polymarket US runs through QCX LLC, a CFTC-designated contract market (CFTC listing (opens in a new tab)).

OG (by Crypto.com) โ€” Available, dispute pending. Its welcome offer (Trade $25 Get $50 in Rewards! New users only) is valid here. Open OG (opens in a new tab).

ProphetX โ€” Available, dispute pending. Its welcome offer (Trade $50, Earn $75!) is valid here. Open ProphetX (opens in a new tab). A sports-first exchange, designated a contract market by the CFTC in June 2026, that also certified election contracts with the CFTC on September 2, 2026 (CFTC product filings (opens in a new tab)).

Novig โ€” Available, dispute pending. Its welcome offer (Deposit $10 Get $50 in Trade Credits!) is valid here. Open Novig (opens in a new tab). Novig (Ludlow Exchange, LLC) has been a CFTC-designated contract market since June 16, 2026 (CFTC listing (opens in a new tab)); its minimum age is 21.

Rebet โ€” Its sweepstakes rules include Wisconsin, and its welcome offer (Get a 100% purchase match up to $100!) is valid here. Rebet is a sweepstakes app, not a CFTC-regulated exchange (Rebet sweepstakes rules (opens in a new tab)).

Catie has funded and traded on all of these platforms herself. Offers are from the partner terms of October 1, 2026; terms apply.

What Wisconsin Residents Can Trade

Users of these platforms in Wisconsin can trade on a diverse portfolio of real-world events. Contracts are typically structured as "Yes/No" questions, with prices ranging from 1ยข to 99ยข, reflecting the market-perceived probability of an outcome. Common categories include:

  • Sports: Outcome of games (e.g., "Will the Green Bay Packers win their next game?"), player performance, championship winners.
  • Politics & Government: Election outcomes, passage of legislation, judicial appointments.
  • Economics & Finance: Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, inflation rates, GDP growth, cryptocurrency prices.
  • Weather & Climate: Hurricane landfalls, daily temperature records in major cities.
  • Science & Entertainment: Box office numbers, award show winners.

Tax and Compliance Considerations for WI Residents

Gains from trading on prediction markets are generally considered taxable income by the IRSโ†— (opens in a new tab). While the specific tax treatment can be complex and may depend on your trading frequency and strategy (e.g., short-term vs. long-term capital gains, ordinary income), residents should assume all profits are subject to federal and Wisconsin state income tax.

Kalshi provides a downloadable profit-and-loss statement for your trades (its 1099s cover interest, rewards and crypto transfers). It is crucial for traders to maintain accurate records and consult with a tax professional in Wisconsin to ensure full compliance with all reporting requirements.

What could change the status

Dates we are watching: Nevada's responses to the Robinhood and Crypto.com Supreme Court petitions are now due November 13 and 16, 2026 (both extended in October), and Kalshi's response to New Jersey's petition is due November 9, 2026 (deadlines can be extended); the earliest the Supreme Court could act on the petitions is a conference in December 2026 or January 2027 (our estimate, not a scheduled date); Kalshi asked the full Sixth Circuit to rehear the case on October 9, 2026, and the court has not ruled; the CFTC's October 9, 2026 interim final rule takes effect only when it is published in the Federal Register, which had not happened as of October 14, 2026. We re-check this page when any of these happen and log the change above.

Best Platforms Compared

Platform

Score

Promo

Action

Polymarket US

A global prediction market, now a CFTC-regulated US app that trades in dollars

95

See current offer โ†’

Claim $25 bonus (opens in a new tab)

Kalshi

The gold standard for regulated US event contracts

94

Trade $25, get $25 โ€” code RANKPREDICTS

Claim $25 credit (opens in a new tab)

Robinhood

The easiest entry point for US retail traders

88

See current offer โ†’

Try Kalshi instead (opens in a new tab)

DraftKings Predictions

Sports-first prediction markets from America's leading sportsbook

82

See current offer โ†’

Try Kalshi instead (opens in a new tab)

Prediction markets in other states

ยง References & Sources

  1. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) (opens in a new tab)โ€” U.S. federal regulator
  2. CFTC Designated Contract Markets list (opens in a new tab)โ€” CFTC
  3. 26 U.S. Code ยง 1256 โ€” Section 1256 contracts marked to market (opens in a new tab)โ€” Cornell Law / U.S. Code
  4. IRS Form 6781 โ€” Gains and Losses From Section 1256 Contracts (opens in a new tab)โ€” Internal Revenue Service
  5. National Council on Problem Gambling โ€” 1-800-GAMBLER (opens in a new tab)โ€” NCPG

Frequently asked questions

Are prediction markets legal in Wisconsin?

We don't give legal verdicts, but here is the status as of October 3, 2026, with court dates re-checked October 14, 2026: Kalshi, Polymarket US, ProphetX, OG and Novig: Available, dispute pending. Wisconsin sued Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com, Robinhood and Coinbase in Apr 2026 and the CFTC sued Wisconsin; no court order blocks the platforms. Nationally, federal appeals courts are split on sports event contracts, all at the preliminary-injunction stage, and three Supreme Court petitions are pending; none has been granted.

Can I use Kalshi in Wisconsin?

Status as of October 3, 2026: Available, dispute pending. Kalshi accepts Wisconsin residents; Wisconsin sued Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com, Robinhood and Coinbase in Apr 2026 and the CFTC sued Wisconsin; no court order blocks the platforms. Kalshi's welcome offer (Trade $25 and Get $25!) applies to Wisconsin residents. Kalshi's minimum age is 18; we recommend 21+.

What has Wisconsin done about prediction markets?

Wisconsin sued Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com, Robinhood and Coinbase in April 2026 and the CFTC sued Wisconsin; no court order blocks the platforms. Most recent entries in our timeline: July 29, 2026: federal court decision in United States v. Wisconsin, which New Jersey's Supreme Court petition lists as siding with the states; April 28, 2026: CFTC sues Wisconsin; April 23, 2026: Wisconsin sues five prediction market companies. Each entry above links to its source.

Are the welcome offers valid in Wisconsin?

Yes. The Kalshi, Polymarket US, ProphetX, OG and Novig welcome offers all list Wisconsin as eligible (partner terms of October 1, 2026). Offer terms apply.

What could change the status in Wisconsin?

Dates we are watching: Nevada's responses to the Robinhood and Crypto.com Supreme Court petitions are now due November 13 and 16, 2026 (both extended in October), and Kalshi's response to New Jersey's petition is due November 9, 2026 (deadlines can be extended); the earliest the Supreme Court could act on the petitions is a conference in December 2026 or January 2027 (our estimate, not a scheduled date); Kalshi asked the full Sixth Circuit to rehear the case on October 9, 2026, and the court has not ruled; the CFTC's October 9, 2026 interim final rule takes effect only when it is published in the Federal Register, which had not happened as of October 14, 2026. We re-check this page when any of these happen and log the change above.