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Prediction markets

Are Prediction Markets Legal in Washington?

Status as of October 3, 2026: Kalshi sports contracts blocked by court order; Polymarket US, ProphetX, OG and Novig available, dispute pending. What the courts and the state have done, with dated sources.

Update, October 2, 2026

Parts of this page were written in April 2026. Since then a Washington court has granted the state a preliminary injunction against Kalshi (reported July 22, 2026; order dated August 12, 2026). From August 19, 2026 Kalshi blocks sports, elections, politics, entertainment, culture, tech/science and mention markets for Washington residents; commodities, climate, economics and finance markets remain open. Kalshi's welcome offer is not available in Washington.

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Quick Verdict: Kalshi sports contracts blocked by court order; Polymarket US, ProphetX, OG and Novig available, dispute pending

Kalshi: sports contracts blocked by court order (other markets stay open); Polymarket US, ProphetX, OG and Novig: Available, dispute pending. A Washington court injunction led Kalshi to block sports, election and several other categories from Aug 19, 2026; Washington is in the Ninth Circuit. (source (opens in a new tab))

Nationally: Federal appeals courts are split on sports event contracts, all at the preliminary-injunction stage: the Third Circuit sided with Kalshi (Apr 6, 2026), the Ninth (Aug 28, 2026) and Sixth (Sep 25, 2026) sided with the states, and three Supreme Court petitions (Nos. 26-299, 26-338, 26-344) are pending; none has been granted.

  • Status (as of October 3, 2026): Kalshi: sports contracts blocked by court order (other markets stay open); Polymarket US, ProphetX, OG and Novig: Available, dispute pending.
  • Why: A Washington court injunction led Kalshi to block sports, election and several other categories from Aug 19, 2026; Washington is in the Ninth Circuit.
  • Welcome offers that apply to Washington residents (partner terms of Oct 1, 2026): Polymarket US, ProphetX, OG, Novig, Rebet. Not valid here: Kalshi.
  • Age: Kalshi, Polymarket US, OG and Rebet set 18 as the minimum (ProphetX: 18 or the local age of majority if higher); Novig sets 21. We recommend 21+.
  • Status describes whether each platform accepts Washington residents, not whether trading is legal. We do not give legal advice.

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Washington has the strictest interpretation of gambling law of any US state. Online gambling โ€” including peer-to-peer poker โ€” is a Class C felony under RCW 9.46.240 (opens in a new tab). Against that backdrop, Washington Attorney General Nick Brown filed a lawsuit on March 27, 2026 against Kalshi, alleging the platform "violates state law by operating and advertising an online platform" for illegal gambling. Robinhood has since countersued Washington in federal court, and the December 9, 2025 Washington State Gambling Commission warning (opens in a new tab) declared that prediction markets are "not authorized" in Washington.

This is the most aggressive multi-front state action against prediction markets currently in progress in the United States. As of April 21, 2026, prediction-market platforms were still accessible to Washington addresses; since August 19, 2026 Kalshi has blocked sports and several other contract types there under a court order, and the legal posture is the most uncertain of any major US prediction-market state.

Why Washington Is Uniquely Hostile

Three structural factors:

  1. The country's broadest gambling statute. RCW 9.46 criminalizes essentially any online wagering not specifically authorized. Washington is one of only two states (Utah being the other) where any form of online gambling is a felony.
  2. A powerful tribal gaming coalition. Washington has 29 federally recognized tribes operating tribal gaming under IGRA compacts. The Tulalip, Muckleshoot and Puyallup tribes have aggressively defended their gaming exclusivity. Sports betting in Washington is currently legal only on tribal lands (in-person), giving tribes effective monopoly control.
  3. A consumer-protection-led AG. Nick Brown was elected on a consumer-protection platform. His office's news release on Kalshi emphasizes lack of state responsible-gaming protections and the 18+ age threshold.

What Washington Residents Can Trade Right Now

A Washington court has since ordered Kalshi to block several contract types in the state (in effect from August 19, 2026); commodities, climate, economics and finance markets remain open there.

Volume is meaningful but lower than peer states. Kalshi reports Washington as one of its top-15 states by user count, despite the litigation.

Best Prediction Market Platforms for Washington Residents

Kalshi โ€” Primary target of AG Brown's lawsuit. Sports, elections, politics, entertainment, culture, tech/science and mention markets blocked by court order since August 19, 2026. Sports, politics, macro, crypto. CFTC Designated Contract Market.

Zero commission.

Polymarket US โ€” Available, funded in US dollars, deepest crypto and political markets.

OG.com โ€” Available, sports-focused, low fees.

Novig โ€” Available in Washington: deposit $10, get $50 in trade credits with code RANKPREDICTS.

Rebet โ€” Available in Washington: 100% purchase match up to $100 with code RANKPREDICTS.

Chalkboard, Sleeper โ€” Check each app for Washington availability.

Eligibility Checklist for Washington Residents

  • 18+ on CFTC-regulated platforms.
  • Government ID + SSN for KYC.
  • Be aware that AG Brown's lawsuit, if successful, could result in platforms withdrawing from Washington with little notice. Avoid keeping unnecessarily large balances.
  • Funding from a US bank account or debit card. Polymarket US funds in dollars inside its app.

Tax Treatment for Washington Residents

Washington has no state income tax, which is materially favorable for prediction-market traders compared to California (13.3%) or New York (10.9%). Federal treatment is unsettled: the IRSโ†— (opens in a new tab) hasn't issued guidance on event contracts, and tax professionals argue for gambling income, capital gains or Section 1256 (60/40) treatment. Consult a tax professional โ€” the litigation creates additional complexity around how Washington might ultimately classify gains if the AG prevails.

What could change the status

Dates we are watching: Nevada's responses to the Robinhood and Crypto.com Supreme Court petitions are now due November 13 and 16, 2026 (both extended in October), and Kalshi's response to New Jersey's petition is due November 9, 2026 (deadlines can be extended); the earliest the Supreme Court could act on the petitions is a conference in December 2026 or January 2027 (our estimate, not a scheduled date); the Ninth Circuit has not yet decided Kalshi's request for a rehearing by the full court. We re-check this page when any of these happen and log the change above.

Sources

Status in Washington as of October 3, 2026

PlatformStatusWhy (source)Welcome offer in Washington
KalshiSports contracts blocked by court orderUnder a Washington court preliminary injunction, Kalshi has blocked sports, election, politics, entertainment, culture, tech/science and mention contracts for Washington users since Aug 19, 2026; commodities, climate, economics and finance markets remain open. (source (opens in a new tab))Not valid here
Polymarket USAvailable, dispute pendingPolymarket US accepts Washington residents; a Washington court injunction led Kalshi to block sports, election and several other categories from Aug 19, 2026; Washington is in the Ninth Circuit. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Deposit $10 get a $25 Trading Bonus!
ProphetXAvailable, dispute pendingProphetX accepts Washington residents; a Washington court injunction led Kalshi to block sports, election and several other categories from Aug 19, 2026; Washington is in the Ninth Circuit. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Trade $50, Earn $75!
OG (by Crypto.com)Available, dispute pendingOG accepts Washington residents; a Washington court injunction led Kalshi to block sports, election and several other categories from Aug 19, 2026; Washington is in the Ninth Circuit. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Trade $25 Get $50 in Rewards! (New users only)
NovigAvailable, dispute pendingNovig accepts Washington residents; a Washington court injunction led Kalshi to block sports, election and several other categories from Aug 19, 2026; Washington is in the Ninth Circuit. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Deposit $10 Get $50 in Trade Credits!
RebetAvailable, dispute pendingRebet is a sweepstakes app, not a CFTC-regulated exchange; its sweepstakes rules include Washington. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Get a 100% purchase match up to $100!

What changed (newest first)

Prediction markets in other states

ยง References & Sources

  1. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) (opens in a new tab)โ€” U.S. federal regulator
  2. CFTC Designated Contract Markets list (opens in a new tab)โ€” CFTC
  3. 26 U.S. Code ยง 1256 โ€” Section 1256 contracts marked to market (opens in a new tab)โ€” Cornell Law / U.S. Code
  4. IRS Form 6781 โ€” Gains and Losses From Section 1256 Contracts (opens in a new tab)โ€” Internal Revenue Service
  5. National Council on Problem Gambling โ€” 1-800-GAMBLER (opens in a new tab)โ€” NCPG

Frequently asked questions

Are prediction markets legal in Washington?

We don't give legal verdicts, but here is the status as of October 3, 2026: Kalshi: sports contracts blocked by court order (other markets stay open); Polymarket US, ProphetX, OG and Novig: Available, dispute pending. A Washington court injunction led Kalshi to block sports, election and several other categories from Aug 19, 2026; Washington is in the Ninth Circuit. Nationally, federal appeals courts are split on sports event contracts, all at the preliminary-injunction stage, and three Supreme Court petitions are pending; none has been granted.

Can I use Kalshi in Washington?

Status as of October 3, 2026: Sports contracts blocked by court order. Under a Washington court preliminary injunction, Kalshi has blocked sports, election, politics, entertainment, culture, tech/science and mention contracts for Washington users since Aug 19, 2026; commodities, climate, economics and finance markets remain open. We do not show Kalshi's welcome offer for Washington. Kalshi's minimum age is 18; we recommend 21+.

What has Washington done about prediction markets?

A Washington court injunction led Kalshi to block sports, election and several other categories from Aug 19, 2026; Washington is in the Ninth Circuit. Most recent entries in our timeline: Aug 19, 2026: Kalshi begins blocking certain event contracts in Washington; Jul 22, 2026: Washington judge grants preliminary injunction against Kalshi; Mar 27, 2026: Washington Attorney General sues Kalshi. Each entry above links to its source.

What could change the status in Washington?

Dates we are watching: Nevada's responses to the Robinhood and Crypto.com Supreme Court petitions are now due November 13 and 16, 2026 (both extended in October), and Kalshi's response to New Jersey's petition is due November 9, 2026 (deadlines can be extended); the earliest the Supreme Court could act on the petitions is a conference in December 2026 or January 2027 (our estimate, not a scheduled date); the Ninth Circuit has not yet decided Kalshi's request for a rehearing by the full court. We re-check this page when any of these happen and log the change above.