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Prediction markets

Are Prediction Markets Legal in Florida?

Status as of October 3, 2026: Available. What the courts and the state have done, with dated sources.

Quick Verdict: Available

Kalshi, Polymarket US, ProphetX, OG and Novig: Available. No Florida enforcement action was found; the governor said in Feb 2026 the state was examining whether prediction markets conflict with the Seminole compact. (source (opens in a new tab))

Nationally: Federal appeals courts are split on sports event contracts, all at the preliminary-injunction stage: the Third Circuit sided with Kalshi (Apr 6, 2026), the Ninth (Aug 28, 2026) and Sixth (Sep 25, 2026) sided with the states, and three Supreme Court petitions (Nos. 26-299, 26-338, 26-344) are pending; none has been granted.

  • Status (as of October 3, 2026): Kalshi, Polymarket US, ProphetX, OG and Novig: Available.
  • Why: No Florida enforcement action was found; the governor said in Feb 2026 the state was examining whether prediction markets conflict with the Seminole compact.
  • Welcome offers that apply to Florida residents (partner terms of Oct 1, 2026): Kalshi, Polymarket US, ProphetX, OG, Novig, Rebet.
  • Age: Kalshi, Polymarket US, OG and Rebet set 18 as the minimum (ProphetX: 18 or the local age of majority if higher); Novig sets 21. We recommend 21+.
  • Status describes whether each platform accepts Florida residents, not whether trading is legal. We do not give legal advice.

Best offer right now

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Kalshi

Score 92/100

Trade $25 and Get $25!

Trade $25 in event contracts and get $25 in credit. Use code RANKPREDICTS at signup.

Code: RANKPREDICTS

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21+ ยท Terms apply ยท Verified Sep 2

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

Full offer details โ†’

Yes. Prediction markets are legal in Florida in 2026.

Florida's sports betting situation is unusual: the Seminole Tribe's Hard Rock Bet is the only legal state-regulated sportsbook in Florida following the compact approved in 2021, after years of legal battles. FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM do not have active sportsbook licenses in Florida.

This makes prediction markets particularly valuable for Florida residents who want to trade on sports outcomes but cannot access mainstream national sportsbooks. CFTC-regulated prediction market platforms are available to Florida residents statewide.

What Florida Residents Can Access

Kalshi โ€” Available to Florida residents. Full market catalog. Sports contracts available in Florida as it is not a state where prediction market platforms hold an active sportsbook license (the exception that would restrict sports contracts).

FanDuel Predicts โ€” FanDuel Predicts offers sports contracts in Florida specifically because FanDuel does not hold a state sportsbook license there (Hard Rock Bet has the Seminole compact exclusivity). This means Florida is one of FanDuel's key prediction market sports states.

DraftKings does not have a Florida sportsbook license, so prediction market sports coverage is unrestricted.

Zero commission.

OG.com โ€” Available in Florida. Sports-forward with low fees.

Status in Florida as of October 3, 2026

PlatformStatusWhy (source)Welcome offer in Florida
KalshiAvailableKalshi accepts Florida residents; no Florida enforcement action was found; the governor said in Feb 2026 the state was examining whether prediction markets conflict with the Seminole compact. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Trade $25 and Get $25!
Polymarket USAvailablePolymarket US accepts Florida residents; no Florida enforcement action was found; the governor said in Feb 2026 the state was examining whether prediction markets conflict with the Seminole compact. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Deposit $10 get a $25 Trading Bonus!
ProphetXAvailableProphetX accepts Florida residents; no Florida enforcement action was found; the governor said in Feb 2026 the state was examining whether prediction markets conflict with the Seminole compact. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Trade $50, Earn $75!
OG (by Crypto.com)AvailableOG accepts Florida residents; no Florida enforcement action was found; the governor said in Feb 2026 the state was examining whether prediction markets conflict with the Seminole compact. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Trade $25 Get $50 in Rewards! (New users only)
NovigAvailableNovig accepts Florida residents; no Florida enforcement action was found; the governor said in Feb 2026 the state was examining whether prediction markets conflict with the Seminole compact. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Deposit $10 Get $50 in Trade Credits!
RebetAvailableRebet is a sweepstakes app, not a CFTC-regulated exchange; its sweepstakes rules include Florida. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Get a 100% purchase match up to $100!

What changed (newest first)

Prediction markets in other states

ยง References & Sources

  1. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) (opens in a new tab)โ€” U.S. federal regulator
  2. CFTC Designated Contract Markets list (opens in a new tab)โ€” CFTC
  3. 26 U.S. Code ยง 1256 โ€” Section 1256 contracts marked to market (opens in a new tab)โ€” Cornell Law / U.S. Code
  4. IRS Form 6781 โ€” Gains and Losses From Section 1256 Contracts (opens in a new tab)โ€” Internal Revenue Service
  5. National Council on Problem Gambling โ€” 1-800-GAMBLER (opens in a new tab)โ€” NCPG

Frequently asked questions

Are prediction markets legal in Florida?

We don't give legal verdicts, but here is the status as of October 3, 2026: Kalshi, Polymarket US, ProphetX, OG and Novig: Available. No Florida enforcement action was found; the governor said in Feb 2026 the state was examining whether prediction markets conflict with the Seminole compact. Nationally, federal appeals courts are split on sports event contracts, all at the preliminary-injunction stage, and three Supreme Court petitions are pending; none has been granted.

Can I use Kalshi in Florida?

Status as of October 3, 2026: Available. Kalshi accepts Florida residents; no Florida enforcement action was found; the governor said in Feb 2026 the state was examining whether prediction markets conflict with the Seminole compact. Kalshi's welcome offer (Trade $25 and Get $25!) applies to Florida residents. Kalshi's minimum age is 18; we recommend 21+.

What has Florida done about prediction markets?

No Florida enforcement action was found; the governor said in Feb 2026 the state was examining whether prediction markets conflict with the Seminole compact. Most recent entries in our timeline: Feb 23, 2026: Florida governor questions whether Kalshi conflicts with Seminole compact. Each entry above links to its source.

What could change the status in Florida?

Dates we are watching: Nevada's responses to the Robinhood and Crypto.com Supreme Court petitions are now due November 13 and 16, 2026 (both extended in October), and Kalshi's response to New Jersey's petition is due November 9, 2026 (deadlines can be extended); the earliest the Supreme Court could act on the petitions is a conference in December 2026 or January 2027 (our estimate, not a scheduled date). We re-check this page when any of these happen and log the change above.