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Prediction markets

Are Prediction Markets Legal in Rhode Island?

Status as of October 3, 2026: Available, dispute pending. What the courts and the state have done, with dated sources.

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Quick Verdict: Available, dispute pending

Kalshi, Polymarket US, ProphetX, OG and Novig: Available, dispute pending. Rhode Island's Attorney General sued prediction market operators in state court in May 2026 and the CFTC moved to intervene; no court order blocks the platforms. (source (opens in a new tab))

Nationally: Federal appeals courts are split on sports event contracts, all at the preliminary-injunction stage: the Third Circuit sided with Kalshi (Apr 6, 2026), the Ninth (Aug 28, 2026) and Sixth (Sep 25, 2026) sided with the states, and three Supreme Court petitions (Nos. 26-299, 26-338, 26-344) are pending; none has been granted.

  • Status (as of October 3, 2026): Kalshi, Polymarket US, ProphetX, OG and Novig: Available, dispute pending.
  • Why: Rhode Island's Attorney General sued prediction market operators in state court in May 2026 and the CFTC moved to intervene; no court order blocks the platforms.
  • Welcome offers that apply to Rhode Island residents (partner terms of Oct 1, 2026): Kalshi, Polymarket US, ProphetX, OG, Novig, Rebet.
  • Age: Kalshi, Polymarket US, OG and Rebet set 18 as the minimum (ProphetX: 18 or the local age of majority if higher); Novig sets 21. We recommend 21+.
  • Status describes whether each platform accepts Rhode Island residents, not whether trading is legal. We do not give legal advice.

Best offer right now

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Kalshi

Score 92/100

Trade $25 and Get $25!

Trade $25 in event contracts and get $25 in credit. Use code RANKPREDICTS at signup.

Code: RANKPREDICTS

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21+ · Terms apply · Verified Sep 2

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

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Rhode Island operates a single-operator state-monopoly mobile sportsbook structurally similar to Oregon's. The Rhode Island Lottery contracts with IGT (International Game Technology) (opens in a new tab) as the platform provider, with Bally's Corporation operating the customer-facing Sportsbook Rhode Island product under exclusive license. No other commercial operator can offer mobile sports betting to RI residents. DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, ESPN BET, Fanatics Sportsbook — all locked out.

The result mirrors Oregon: CFTC-regulated prediction markets are the only competitive alternative for RI bettors who want choice in pricing, market depth, or product range outside Sportsbook RI. And because DK, FD and Fanatics were all locked out of the RI mobile sportsbook market, all three of their CFTC predictions products (DK Predictions, FD Predicts, Fanatics Markets) are available to RI residents — there are no in-state sportsbook licenses to protect.

Why Rhode Island's Monopoly Structure Makes Prediction Markets Strategically Important

Three reasons (parallel to Oregon):

  1. No multi-operator competition pressure on Sportsbook RI. Without competing operators driving promo offers, market range and pricing improvements, Sportsbook RI bettors have limited choice. CFTC platforms fill the gap.
  2. All major prediction-market operators are available. DK Predictions, FD Predicts and Fanatics Markets are all live in RI because none of their parent companies hold RI sportsbook licenses to protect. RI is one of the most platform-rich states.
  3. The RI Lottery cannot prohibit federally-regulated CFTC derivatives.

What Rhode Island Residents Can Trade Right Now

Everything.

  • Sports: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL and college football and basketball, including each game and season futures.
  • Politics and elections: control of Congress, governor races and the 2028 presidential race.
  • Economics: Fed rate decisions, inflation (CPI) and jobs reports.
  • Weather, culture and crypto: temperatures, awards shows, box office and Bitcoin price ranges.

RI-specific market depth is strongest on New England Patriots (NFL — RI is the smallest NE state and Patriots are the regional team), Boston Red Sox (MLB), Boston Celtics (NBA), Boston Bruins (NHL) and Providence Friars (NCAA basketball).

Best Prediction Market Platforms for RI Residents

Kalshi — Full catalog. CFTC Designated Contract Market.

DraftKings Predictions, FanDuel Predicts, Fanatics Markets — All available (no RI sportsbook licenses to protect).

Eligibility Checklist for RI Residents

  • 18+ on CFTC-regulated prediction market platforms (Sportsbook RI: 18+).
  • Government ID + SSN for KYC verification.
  • US bank account or debit card.

Tax Treatment for RI Residents

What could change the status

Dates we are watching: Nevada's responses to the Robinhood and Crypto.com Supreme Court petitions are now due November 13 and 16, 2026 (both extended in October), and Kalshi's response to New Jersey's petition is due November 9, 2026 (deadlines can be extended); the earliest the Supreme Court could act on the petitions is a conference in December 2026 or January 2027 (our estimate, not a scheduled date). We re-check this page when any of these happen and log the change above.

Sources

Status in Rhode Island as of October 3, 2026

PlatformStatusWhy (source)Welcome offer in Rhode Island
KalshiAvailable, dispute pendingKalshi accepts Rhode Island residents; Rhode Island's Attorney General sued prediction market operators in state court in May 2026 and the CFTC moved to intervene; no court order blocks the platforms. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Trade $25 and Get $25!
Polymarket USAvailable, dispute pendingPolymarket US accepts Rhode Island residents; Rhode Island's Attorney General sued prediction market operators in state court in May 2026 and the CFTC moved to intervene; no court order blocks the platforms. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Deposit $10 get a $25 Trading Bonus!
ProphetXAvailable, dispute pendingProphetX accepts Rhode Island residents; Rhode Island's Attorney General sued prediction market operators in state court in May 2026 and the CFTC moved to intervene; no court order blocks the platforms. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Trade $50, Earn $75!
OG (by Crypto.com)Available, dispute pendingOG accepts Rhode Island residents; Rhode Island's Attorney General sued prediction market operators in state court in May 2026 and the CFTC moved to intervene; no court order blocks the platforms. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Trade $25 Get $50 in Rewards! (New users only)
NovigAvailable, dispute pendingNovig accepts Rhode Island residents; Rhode Island's Attorney General sued prediction market operators in state court in May 2026 and the CFTC moved to intervene; no court order blocks the platforms. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Deposit $10 Get $50 in Trade Credits!
RebetAvailable, dispute pendingRebet is a sweepstakes app, not a CFTC-regulated exchange; its sweepstakes rules include Rhode Island. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Get a 100% purchase match up to $100!

What changed (newest first)

Prediction markets in other states

§ References & Sources

  1. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) (opens in a new tab)— U.S. federal regulator
  2. CFTC Designated Contract Markets list (opens in a new tab)— CFTC
  3. 26 U.S. Code § 1256 — Section 1256 contracts marked to market (opens in a new tab)— Cornell Law / U.S. Code
  4. IRS Form 6781 — Gains and Losses From Section 1256 Contracts (opens in a new tab)— Internal Revenue Service
  5. National Council on Problem Gambling — 1-800-GAMBLER (opens in a new tab)— NCPG

Frequently asked questions

Are prediction markets legal in Rhode Island?

We don't give legal verdicts, but here is the status as of October 3, 2026: Kalshi, Polymarket US, ProphetX, OG and Novig: Available, dispute pending. Rhode Island's Attorney General sued prediction market operators in state court in May 2026 and the CFTC moved to intervene; no court order blocks the platforms. Nationally, federal appeals courts are split on sports event contracts, all at the preliminary-injunction stage, and three Supreme Court petitions are pending; none has been granted.

Can I use Kalshi in Rhode Island?

Status as of October 3, 2026: Available, dispute pending. Kalshi accepts Rhode Island residents; Rhode Island's Attorney General sued prediction market operators in state court in May 2026 and the CFTC moved to intervene; no court order blocks the platforms. Kalshi's welcome offer (Trade $25 and Get $25!) applies to Rhode Island residents. Kalshi's minimum age is 18; we recommend 21+.

What has Rhode Island done about prediction markets?

Rhode Island's Attorney General sued prediction market operators in state court in May 2026 and the CFTC moved to intervene; no court order blocks the platforms. Most recent entries in our timeline: May 28, 2026: CFTC moves to intervene in Rhode Island prediction market litigation. Each entry above links to its source.

What could change the status in Rhode Island?

Dates we are watching: Nevada's responses to the Robinhood and Crypto.com Supreme Court petitions are now due November 13 and 16, 2026 (both extended in October), and Kalshi's response to New Jersey's petition is due November 9, 2026 (deadlines can be extended); the earliest the Supreme Court could act on the petitions is a conference in December 2026 or January 2027 (our estimate, not a scheduled date). We re-check this page when any of these happen and log the change above.