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Prediction markets

Prediction Markets in Tennessee

Status as of October 3, 2026: Available, dispute pending. What the courts and the state have done, with dated sources.

Quick Verdict: Available, dispute pending

Kalshi, Polymarket US, ProphetX, OG and Novig: Available, dispute pending. The Sixth Circuit on Sep 25, 2026 vacated the injunction that had protected Kalshi in Tennessee, where the regulator ordered Kalshi, Polymarket and Crypto.com to stop sports contracts in Jan 2026. (source (opens in a new tab))

Nationally: Federal appeals courts are split on sports event contracts, all at the preliminary-injunction stage: the Third Circuit sided with Kalshi (Apr 6, 2026), the Ninth (Aug 28, 2026) and Sixth (Sep 25, 2026) sided with the states, and three Supreme Court petitions (Nos. 26-299, 26-338, 26-344) are pending; none has been granted.

  • Status (as of October 3, 2026): Kalshi, Polymarket US, ProphetX, OG and Novig: Available, dispute pending.
  • Why: The Sixth Circuit on Sep 25, 2026 vacated the injunction that had protected Kalshi in Tennessee, where the regulator ordered Kalshi, Polymarket and Crypto.com to stop sports contracts in Jan 2026.
  • Welcome offers that apply to Tennessee residents (partner terms of Oct 1, 2026): Kalshi, Polymarket US, ProphetX, OG, Novig. Not valid here: Rebet.
  • Age: Kalshi, Polymarket US, OG and Rebet set 18 as the minimum (ProphetX: 18 or the local age of majority if higher); Novig sets 21. We recommend 21+.
  • Status describes whether each platform accepts Tennessee residents, not whether trading is legal. We do not give legal advice.

Best offer right now

Kalshi logo

Kalshi

Score 92/100

Trade $25 and Get $25!

Trade $25 in event contracts and get $25 in credit. Use code RANKPREDICTS at signup.

Code: RANKPREDICTS

Claim $25 credit (opens in a new tab)

21+ ยท Terms apply ยท Verified Sep 2

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

Full offer details โ†’

Status in Tennessee as of October 3, 2026

PlatformStatusWhy (source)Welcome offer in Tennessee
KalshiAvailable, dispute pendingKalshi accepts Tennessee residents; the Sixth Circuit on Sep 25, 2026 vacated the injunction that had protected Kalshi in Tennessee, where the regulator ordered Kalshi, Polymarket and Crypto.com to stop sports contracts in Jan 2026. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Trade $25 and Get $25!
Polymarket USAvailable, dispute pendingPolymarket US accepts Tennessee residents; the Sixth Circuit on Sep 25, 2026 vacated the injunction that had protected Kalshi in Tennessee, where the regulator ordered Kalshi, Polymarket and Crypto.com to stop sports contracts in Jan 2026. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Deposit $10 get a $25 Trading Bonus!
ProphetXAvailable, dispute pendingProphetX accepts Tennessee residents; the Sixth Circuit on Sep 25, 2026 vacated the injunction that had protected Kalshi in Tennessee, where the regulator ordered Kalshi, Polymarket and Crypto.com to stop sports contracts in Jan 2026. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Trade $50, Earn $75!
OG (by Crypto.com)Available, dispute pendingOG accepts Tennessee residents; the Sixth Circuit on Sep 25, 2026 vacated the injunction that had protected Kalshi in Tennessee, where the regulator ordered Kalshi, Polymarket and Crypto.com to stop sports contracts in Jan 2026. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Trade $25 Get $50 in Rewards! (New users only)
NovigAvailable, dispute pendingNovig accepts Tennessee residents; the Sixth Circuit on Sep 25, 2026 vacated the injunction that had protected Kalshi in Tennessee, where the regulator ordered Kalshi, Polymarket and Crypto.com to stop sports contracts in Jan 2026. (source (opens in a new tab))Valid: Deposit $10 Get $50 in Trade Credits!
RebetNot offeredRebet is a sweepstakes app, not a CFTC-regulated exchange; its sweepstakes rules exclude Tennessee. (source)Not shown (the partner sheet lists Tennessee, Rebet's own rules exclude it; owner to confirm with the network)

What changed (newest first)

Tennessee's Established Mobile Sports Betting Market

Tennessee was the first US state to launch online-only sports betting, going live on November 1, 2020 under the Tennessee Sports Gaming Act. The state has no in-person sportsbook framework โ€” all wagers are mobile-first. As of 2026, eleven licensed operators are live, including FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, Caesars, ESPN BET, Fanatics, and Action 24/7 (a Tennessee-native operator).

The state imposes a 1.85% tax on handle (changed in 2023 from 20% on adjusted gross revenue) โ€” one of the most operator-friendly tax structures in the country. Through 2025, Tennessee sportsbooks have produced over $400M in state tax revenue.

The success of TN's licensed market is one reason the SWC challenged Kalshi in 2025: state regulators view sports event contracts as direct competition that bypasses the licensure and tax framework that licensed operators bear.

What Tennessee Residents Can Trade

The full federal prediction market catalog is available to TN residents:

  • NFL contracts including Tennessee Titans game lines, AFC South division markets, and Super Bowl futures
  • NBA contracts including Memphis Grizzlies game and futures markets
  • NHL including Nashville Predators game lines and Stanley Cup futures
  • MLB โ€” no MLB team in TN, but full league coverage
  • College football and college basketball โ€” Tennessee Volunteers, Vanderbilt Commodores, Memphis Tigers, and SECโ†— (opens in a new tab) conference markets
  • Politics โ€” 2026 midterms, 2028 presidential, congressional control
  • Economic data and Crypto โ€” full catalog

Tennessee is one of the strongest college sports trading states given the SECโ†— (opens in a new tab) football and basketball footprint and the strong regional engagement around University of Tennessee athletics.

Best Platforms for TN Residents

OG.com is our top pick for Tennessee in 2026. Crypto.com's CFTC-regulated sports-first prediction market combines a 4-leg parlay builder, social trading feed, and live in-game contracts โ€” and new traders can trade $25 and get $50 in rewards with code RANKPREDICTS. Kalshi remains a strong runner-up for the deepest non-sports catalog and lowest published fees.

Polymarket US offers strong politics and crypto market depth and is not subject to TN enforcement action. Full statewide access.

Robinhood provides Kalshi-routed contracts inside the Robinhood app โ€” zero per-contract commission and the same federal protection as direct Kalshi trading.

DraftKings Predictions and FanDuel Predicts are interesting in TN because both companies operate licensed Tennessee sportsbooks. The Predictions products give users access to event contract structures (combos, deeper futures) that complement existing sportsbook accounts.

How TN Residents Sign Up

The signup process is identical to opening a brokerage account:

  1. Visit the platform website or app
  2. Provide name, address, date of birth, and last four of SSN
  3. Upload government-issued ID for KYC
  4. Link a bank account and deposit in US dollars
  5. Begin trading

Must be 18+. Geofencing enforced by IP and device location.

How TN Compares to Neighboring States

  • Alabama: Available (as of October 3, 2026)
  • Arkansas: Available (as of October 3, 2026)
  • Georgia: Available (as of October 3, 2026)
  • Kentucky: Available, dispute pending (as of October 3, 2026)
  • Mississippi: Available (as of October 3, 2026)
  • North Carolina: Available (as of October 3, 2026)
  • Virginia: Available (as of October 3, 2026)

Tax Considerations for TN Residents

Tennessee has no state income tax โ€” making it one of the most tax-favorable jurisdictions in the country for prediction market trading. TN traders owe federal income tax on net gains from event contracts (typically taxed as short-term capital gains or ordinary income depending on the contract structure) but no state-level liability.

Kalshi provides a profit-and-loss statement for your trades; platforms' 1099s mainly cover interest, rewards and crypto transfers. TN residents should still keep careful trade records โ€” federal reporting and audit obligations apply regardless of state tax treatment.

What could change the status

Dates we are watching: Nevada's responses to the Robinhood and Crypto.com Supreme Court petitions are now due November 13 and 16, 2026 (both extended in October), and Kalshi's response to New Jersey's petition is due November 9, 2026 (deadlines can be extended); the earliest the Supreme Court could act on the petitions is a conference in December 2026 or January 2027 (our estimate, not a scheduled date). We re-check this page when any of these happen and log the change above.

Best Platforms Compared

Platform

Score

Promo

Action

Polymarket US

A global prediction market, now a CFTC-regulated US app that trades in dollars

95

See current offer โ†’

Claim $25 bonus (opens in a new tab)

Kalshi

The gold standard for regulated US event contracts

94

Trade $25, get $25 โ€” code RANKPREDICTS

Claim $25 credit (opens in a new tab)

Robinhood

The easiest entry point for US retail traders

88

See current offer โ†’

Try Kalshi instead (opens in a new tab)

DraftKings Predictions

Sports-first prediction markets from America's leading sportsbook

82

See current offer โ†’

Try Kalshi instead (opens in a new tab)

FanDuel Predicts

FanDuel's federal play for the prediction markets era

80

See current offer โ†’

Try Kalshi instead (opens in a new tab)

Prediction markets in other states

ยง References & Sources

  1. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) (opens in a new tab)โ€” U.S. federal regulator
  2. CFTC Designated Contract Markets list (opens in a new tab)โ€” CFTC
  3. 26 U.S. Code ยง 1256 โ€” Section 1256 contracts marked to market (opens in a new tab)โ€” Cornell Law / U.S. Code
  4. IRS Form 6781 โ€” Gains and Losses From Section 1256 Contracts (opens in a new tab)โ€” Internal Revenue Service
  5. National Council on Problem Gambling โ€” 1-800-GAMBLER (opens in a new tab)โ€” NCPG

Frequently asked questions

Are prediction markets legal in Tennessee?

We don't give legal verdicts, but here is the status as of October 3, 2026: Kalshi, Polymarket US, ProphetX, OG and Novig: Available, dispute pending. The Sixth Circuit on Sep 25, 2026 vacated the injunction that had protected Kalshi in Tennessee, where the regulator ordered Kalshi, Polymarket and Crypto.com to stop sports contracts in Jan 2026. Nationally, federal appeals courts are split on sports event contracts, all at the preliminary-injunction stage, and three Supreme Court petitions are pending; none has been granted.

Can I use Kalshi in Tennessee?

Status as of October 3, 2026: Available, dispute pending. Kalshi accepts Tennessee residents; the Sixth Circuit on Sep 25, 2026 vacated the injunction that had protected Kalshi in Tennessee, where the regulator ordered Kalshi, Polymarket and Crypto.com to stop sports contracts in Jan 2026. Kalshi's welcome offer (Trade $25 and Get $25!) applies to Tennessee residents. Kalshi's minimum age is 18; we recommend 21+.

What has Tennessee done about prediction markets?

The Sixth Circuit on Sep 25, 2026 vacated the injunction that had protected Kalshi in Tennessee, where the regulator ordered Kalshi, Polymarket and Crypto.com to stop sports contracts in Jan 2026. Most recent entries in our timeline: Feb 19, 2026: Federal judge grants Kalshi injunction in Tennessee; Jan 9, 2026: Tennessee regulator sends cease-and-desist letters to three prediction markets. Each entry above links to its source.

What could change the status in Tennessee?

Dates we are watching: Nevada's responses to the Robinhood and Crypto.com Supreme Court petitions are now due November 13 and 16, 2026 (both extended in October), and Kalshi's response to New Jersey's petition is due November 9, 2026 (deadlines can be extended); the earliest the Supreme Court could act on the petitions is a conference in December 2026 or January 2027 (our estimate, not a scheduled date). We re-check this page when any of these happen and log the change above.