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Kalshi: Trade $25 and Get $25! · code RANKPREDICTS · 21+ · Terms apply

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We earn a commission from the platforms in the first group. Within each group, platforms are sorted by their score. How we score: Methodology.

See our best prediction market platforms (2026 ranking).

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Sports pick · Trade $50, get $75

Trade $50 and get $75 on ProphetX

Trade $50, Earn $75! Use code RANKPREDICTS at signup. Offer valid in 49 states + D.C. (not Nevada).

ProphetX · Trade $50, Earn $75!

Promo codeRANKPREDICTS

Offer valid in 49 states + D.C.

Claim $75 bonus (opens in a new tab)

CFTC-regulated · 21+ · Sponsored

New users only. T&Cs apply. ProphetX's minimum age is 18 (or the local age of majority if higher); we recommend 21+. Not available in Nevada. Trading involves risk.

Editor's pick · Trade $25, get $25

Trade $25 and get $25 on Kalshi

Trade $25 in event contracts and get $25 in credit. Use code RANKPREDICTS at signup.

Kalshi · Trade $25 and Get $25!

Promo codeRANKPREDICTS

Offer valid in 47 states + D.C.

Claim $25 credit (opens in a new tab)

CFTC-regulated · 21+ · Sponsored

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

Promo codes (RANKPREDICTS)

One code for every partner. Step-by-step guides, terms and where each offer works.

21+ · New users only · Terms apply

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Beyond the US-wide rankings

Our coverage extends across vertical hubs in the AffiliatePredictions network — including 2026 World Cup market guide (opens in a new tab), our year-round live soccer prediction markets (opens in a new tab) desk, and a hub for markets that price the university (opens in a new tab).

Prediction Markets FAQ

Quick answers to the questions traders ask us most.

What is the best prediction market platform in the US in 2026?

Kalshi is currently the highest-scored US prediction market platform on PredictionRanks, at 92/100. It is a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market with a wide catalog of macro, political, sports and culture contracts, low fees, and a $10 minimum deposit. ProphetX and Robinhood (87/100) and Polymarket US and DraftKings Predictions (85/100) follow.

Are prediction markets legal in the United States?

Available to eligible residents (as of October 3, 2026); check current state rules. CFTC-regulated platforms operate as federal Designated Contract Markets, each available in most states (Kalshi: 47 states plus D.C.; Polymarket US: 49 states plus D.C.). Five states (Wisconsin, New Jersey, Maryland, Massachusetts, Nevada) have challenged sports event contracts, and the CFTC has counter-sued. The federal preemption question is expected to reach the Supreme Court in 2027–2028.

What is the difference between prediction markets and sports betting?

Prediction market contracts are CFTC-regulated derivatives that resolve to $1 (YES) or $0 (NO). Prices equal the market's probability estimate, with no bookmaker margin. Sports betting is regulated state-by-state and uses bookmaker odds with a built-in vig.

What can you trade on prediction markets?

Sports outcomes, US and international politics, Fed rate decisions, CPI and macro data, crypto price levels, weather, climate events, and entertainment. Kalshi has the broadest catalog; Polymarket leads on politics; Robinhood focuses on macro and headlines.

How do I start trading prediction markets?

Pick a CFTC-regulated platform, complete KYC, deposit (Kalshi accepts deposits from $10), then buy YES or NO contracts at the current price. Hold to resolution or sell to exit early.

Updated

Recently updated

Blog

Recap: 2026 World Cup Favorites vs the Result

Recap: Spain won the 2026 World Cup, beating Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the final on July 19, 2026 (Ferran Torres scored). Kylian Mbappé won the Golden Boot with 10 goals.

Catie Di Stefano

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Recap: World Cup 2026 Group of Death (Group E)

Recap: Spain won the 2026 World Cup, beating Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the final on July 19, 2026 (Ferran Torres scored). Kylian Mbappé won the Golden Boot with 10 goals.

Catie Di Stefano

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Recap: Mbappé Wins the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot

Recap: Kylian Mbappé won the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot with 10 goals, becoming the first player to win it twice. Lionel Messi was second with 8. Spain won the final 1-0 against Argentina after extra time.

Catie Di Stefano

Latest

Prediction markets

Prediction Markets in Nevada

Status as of October 3, 2026 (re-checked October 14): Kalshi sports contracts blocked by court order; Polymarket US, ProphetX and Novig not offered; OG sports contracts not offered. Dated sources.

Catie Di Stefano

Prediction markets

Prediction Markets in Arizona

Status as of October 3, 2026: Kalshi, Polymarket US and ProphetX available, dispute pending; OG and Novig not offered. What the courts and the state have done, with dated sources.

Catie Di Stefano

Prediction markets

Prediction Markets in Ohio

Status as of October 19, 2026: Kalshi, Polymarket US, ProphetX and Novig available, dispute pending; OG not offered. What the courts and the state have done, with dated sources.

Catie Di Stefano

Offer terms

  • Kalshi: Trade $25 and Get $25! · code RANKPREDICTS · 47 states + D.C. · 21+
    Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
  • Polymarket US: Deposit $10 get a $25 Trading Bonus! · code RANKPREDICTS · 48 states + D.C. · 21+
    18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
  • OG: Trade $25 Get $50 in Rewards! (New users only) · code RANKPREDICTS · 42 states + D.C. · 21+
    Paid partnership with OG. Terms and conditions apply. Trading derivatives involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Availability subject to jurisdictional limitations. For more information, visit: OG.com.
  • ProphetX: Trade $50, Earn $75! · code RANKPREDICTS · 49 states + D.C. · 21+
    New users only. T&Cs apply. ProphetX's minimum age is 18 (or the local age of majority if higher); we recommend 21+. Not available in Nevada. Trading involves risk.
  • Novig: Deposit $10 Get $50 in Trade Credits! · code RANKPREDICTS · 47 states + D.C. · 21+
    Restrictions & requirements apply. Not available in all states. 21+. Event contract trading involves risk & is not appropriate for all. Consider if it's appropriate for you in light of financial circumstances. See novig.com/terms for information.
  • Rebet: Get a 100% purchase match up to $100! · code RANKPREDICTS · 38 states + D.C. · 21+
    Rebet is a social sweepstakes platform. No purchase necessary. Eligibility and age requirements apply; not available in all states. Void where prohibited. See Rebet's Sweepstakes Rules for details.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.