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Recap: 2026 World Cup Favorites vs the Result
Recap: Spain won the 2026 World Cup, beating Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the final on July 19, 2026 (Ferran Torres scored). Kylian Mbappé won the Golden Boot with 10 goals.
Prediction Markets News & Guides
Strategy, deep-dives, legal updates, and platform analysis for US prediction market traders.
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Recap: World Cup 2026 Group of Death (Group E)
Recap: Spain won the 2026 World Cup, beating Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the final on July 19, 2026 (Ferran Torres scored). Kylian Mbappé won the Golden Boot with 10 goals.
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Prediction Markets at the Supreme Court: The Three Petitions
Three Supreme Court petitions on sports event contracts are pending and none has been granted (October 14, 2026). The circuit split, the dockets, the November deadlines and what traders should watch.
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Eurovision 2026 Recap: Bulgaria Beats the Market Favorite
Recap: Bulgaria won Eurovision 2026 in Vienna on May 16, 2026, with Dara's "Bangaranga" scoring 516 points and winning both the jury and the public vote. Israel was second. Finland had been the market favorite beforehand.
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When do election markets pay out? How 2026 midterm contracts settle
Election contracts don't all pay out on election night. Here is how Kalshi and Polymarket US settle 2026 midterm markets, and what recounts and runoffs mean for your money.
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The CFTC's October 9 rules: what they say about event contracts and sportsbooks
On October 9 the CFTC said sportsbook and casino bets are not swaps and proposed defining event contracts as swaps. Neither rule is in force yet. What it means for traders and platforms.
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Kalshi Fees Explained (2026): Trading, Settlement & Withdrawal Costs
Kalshi does not charge a flat commission. It charges a variable trading fee tied to contract price, which means the cost of a trade depends on how uncertain the market is. This guide breaks down the exact formula, what you actually pay, and where the hidden costs sit.
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Recap: World Cup 2026 Knockout Bracket and How It Played Out
Recap: Spain won the 2026 World Cup, beating Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the final on July 19, 2026 (Ferran Torres scored). Kylian Mbappé won the Golden Boot with 10 goals.
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Recap: Mbappé Wins the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot
Recap: Kylian Mbappé won the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot with 10 goals, becoming the first player to win it twice. Lionel Messi was second with 8. Spain won the final 1-0 against Argentina after extra time.
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Recap: Messi's Last World Cup and How Markets Priced It
Recap: Argentina reached the final and lost 1-0 to Spain after extra time on July 19, 2026. Lionel Messi scored 8 goals, finishing second in the Golden Boot race behind Kylian Mbappé (10).
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Recap: World Cup 2026 Predictions: Markets vs AI vs Pundits
Recap: Spain won the 2026 World Cup, beating Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the final on July 19, 2026 (Ferran Torres scored). Kylian Mbappé won the Golden Boot with 10 goals.
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Recap: World Cup 2026 Groups and How Markets Priced Them
Recap: Spain won the 2026 World Cup, beating Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the final on July 19, 2026 (Ferran Torres scored). Kylian Mbappé won the Golden Boot with 10 goals.
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King Charles III Abdication and Health Odds on Polymarket
Prices below are an earlier snapshot, not live. For current prices, check the live market on Polymarket.
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Spain Snap Election Odds: Sánchez, Feijóo, Vox on Polymarket
Prices below are an earlier snapshot, not live. For current prices, check the live market on Polymarket.
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Nobel Peace Prize 2026 Odds: The October 9 Announcement on Polymarket
Prices below are an earlier snapshot, not live. For current prices, check the live market on Polymarket.
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Recap: Tour de France 2026: PogaÄŤar Wins a Fifth Title
Recap: Tadej PogaÄŤar won the 2026 Tour de France, his fifth title, about six and a half minutes ahead of Remco Evenepoel.