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Strategy, deep-dives, legal updates, and platform analysis for US prediction market traders.
Recap: The ECB raised its three key interest rates by 0.25 percentage point on June 11, 2026 (deposit facility 2.25%), its first increase since 2023, and raised again on September 10 to 2.50%.
Prices below are an earlier snapshot, not live. For current prices, check the live market on Polymarket.
Prices below are an earlier snapshot, not live. For current prices, check the live market on Polymarket.
Prices below are an earlier snapshot, not live. For current prices, check the live market on Polymarket.
Recap: Bulgaria won Eurovision 2026 in Vienna on May 16, 2026, with Dara's "Bangaranga" scoring 516 points and winning both the jury and the public vote. Israel was second. Finland had been the market favorite beforehand.
Prices below are an earlier snapshot, not live. For current prices, check the live market on Polymarket.
Recap: The 2026 World Cup ran from June 11 to July 19, 2026. Spain won the 2026 World Cup, beating Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the final on July 19, 2026 (Ferran Torres scored). Kylian Mbappé won the Golden Boot with 10 goals.
Polymarket is back in the US. After three years of being inaccessible to US-based traders following its 2022 CFTC settlement, the platform returned to US users in July 2025 by acquiring QCX, a CFTC-licensed Designated Contract Market.
Two of the most common Kalshi questions: how do you actually get your money out, and can you build parlays the way you do on a sportsbook? Both have straightforward answers in 2026.
Kalshi is not a gambling site, legally. It is a federally regulated derivatives exchange licensed by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission↗ (CFTC). The contracts you trade on Kalshi are event contracts — a category of derivative recognized under the Commodity Exchange Act↗ of 1936.
Ireland missed the 2026 World Cup after a play-off semi-final shootout loss to Czechia, and England lost 2-1 to Argentina in the semi-finals.
Recap: The United States reached the Round of 16 and lost 4-1 to Belgium in Seattle. Spain won the 2026 World Cup, beating Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the final on July 19, 2026 (Ferran Torres scored). Kylian Mbappé won the Golden Boot with 10 goals.