John Oliver's Prediction Markets Takedown: What He Got Right, What He Got Wrong
Archived report: written in May 2026 about John Oliver's segment on prediction markets; prices and details are as of then, not live.
Archived report: written in May 2026 about John Oliver's segment on prediction markets; prices and details are as of then, not live.
Archived report: written in May 2026 about the Iran-strike bets and insider-trading questions; prices and details are as of then, not live.
Archived report: written in May 2026 about the SEC↗ decision on a Polymarket ETF and sports parlays; prices and details are as of then, not live.
Recap (updated September 29, 2026): The Las Vegas Raiders selected Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza with the first overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, their first No. 1 pick since 2007.
Prices below are an earlier snapshot, not live. For current prices, check the live market on Kalshi or Polymarket.
Expected value, position sizing, five sources of genuine edge, and the strategies professional traders use. A realistic finance-first guide.
Prices below are an earlier snapshot, not live. For current prices, check the live market on Kalshi or Polymarket.
Archived report: written in May 2026 about Polymarket's private-company markets; prices and details are as of then, not live.
New to prediction markets? Start here. Plain English explanation, step-by-step first trade, which platform to choose, and the three rules that actually matter.
Recap (updated September 29, 2026): The New York Knicks beat the San Antonio Spurs 4-1 in the 2026 NBA Finals (June 3–13) for their first championship since 1973. Jalen Brunson was named Finals MVP.
Recap (updated September 29, 2026): Jerome Powell's term as chair ended with Kevin Warsh's Senate confirmation on May 13, 2026 (54-45).
Archived report: written in May 2026 about Polymarket's request to reopen its main exchange to US traders; prices and details are as of then, not live.