Blog
Wisconsin Sues Kalshi, Robinhood, Polymarket — Then the CFTC Sues Wisconsin Back
Archived report: written in May 2026 about Wisconsin's lawsuit and the CFTC's response; prices and details are as of then, not live.
Prediction Markets News & Guides
Strategy, deep-dives, legal updates, and platform analysis for US prediction market traders.
Blog
Kalshi Gas-Price Markets Hit $5.30 as Iran Talks Stall and Hormuz Stays Blocked
Archived report: written in April 2026 about gas-price markets during the Iran talks; prices and details are as of then, not live.
Blog
The Insider Trading Crackdown: Why Kalshi and Polymarket Are Under Pressure to Police Their Traders
Archived report: written in April 2026 about the insider-trading scrutiny of Kalshi and Polymarket; prices and details are as of then, not live.
Blog
Recap: How Kalshi Priced the Fed Chair Race Before Warsh
Recap: The Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair on May 13, 2026, by 54-45, replacing Jerome Powell. On September 16, 2026, the Fed under Warsh raised rates by 0.25 point to 3.75%–4.00%.
Blog
Are Prediction Markets Safe? Risks and Responsible Trading (2026)
I have spent 15 years in the iGaming industry. So when I write about prediction markets, I write honestly — including about the risks.
Blog
Best Prediction Markets That Don't Require Crypto (2026)
Polymarket Global requires USDC↗ and a self-custody wallet — a real friction point for many US traders. The good news: every major CFTC-regulated US prediction market platform accepts standard fiat methods. Crypto is not required.
Blog
Insider Trading on Prediction Markets: What's Illegal in 2026?
Iran strikes, a California gubernatorial candidate, a MrBeast editor — insider trading cases are multiplying.
Blog
Which States Can't Use Kalshi Sports Markets? (October 2026)
As of October 13, 2026, a court order blocks Kalshi's sports contracts in three states: Nevada, Michigan and Washington. Massachusetts is open, with a dispute pending.
Blog
Are Prediction Markets Legal in the US? The Complete 2026 Answer
The short answer is yes — prediction markets are legal for US residents when using CFTC-regulated platforms. The longer answer involves an ongoing battle between federal and state authority that may ultimately reach the Supreme Court↗.
Blog
Prediction Market Minimum Deposits: Every Platform 2026
Want to test prediction markets without committing real capital? Most US platforms have minimal entry requirements. Here is the complete breakdown.
Blog
Trading the 2026 Midterms: A Prediction Market Guide
Prices below are an earlier snapshot, not live. For current prices, check the live market on Kalshi or Polymarket.
Blog
Prediction Markets vs Sports Betting: What Is the Difference?
Prediction markets and sports betting look similar on the surface — you are predicting an outcome and staking money on it. But they are structurally, legally, and economically very different.